Multi-parameter optimization and what-if analysis

Make the preferences behind a candidate ranking visible.

Translate project objectives into documented desirability functions, compare candidates across heterogeneous evidence, and test how weights, thresholds, and missing values change the decision.

MPO scoringDesirability functionsWhat-if analysisPareto rankingEvidence coverageSensitivity analysis

Transparent decision mathematics

A score should explain the ranking, not end the discussion.

MolexIO keeps raw values, endpoint direction, desirability thresholds, weights, transformed values, uncertainty, and missing-data handling inspectable. Teams can see whether a candidate leads because of balanced evidence, one dominant objective, or an assumption that needs review.

Raw values retained

Keep the underlying potency, ADMET, selectivity, synthesis, or other supported evidence beside its transformed desirability.

Explicit thresholds

Document whether higher, lower, or a target range is preferred and where unacceptable, transition, and desirable regions begin.

Reviewable weights

Show the relative influence of each objective and prevent an unexplained default from silently defining the program strategy.

Missing-data policy

Distinguish missing from poor evidence and state whether an unavailable endpoint is excluded, penalized, or blocks comparison.

Pareto alternatives

Identify non-dominated candidates that preserve distinct trade-offs before compressing the decision to one score.

What-if scenarios

Change weights and thresholds to reveal rank stability, fragile winners, and the measurement most likely to reduce uncertainty.

Preference, not truthDesirability encodes a documented project decision rule.
Coverage beside scoreIncomplete candidates cannot look fully supported without disclosure.
Scenario preservedWeights and thresholds remain part of the result provenance.

From objectives to a robust shortlist

Challenge the ranking before acting on it.

  1. 01

    Define objectives

    Select decision-relevant endpoints and confirm units, direction, comparability, and evidence type.

  2. 02

    Set desirability

    Document thresholds, shapes, weights, gates, and missing-data behavior.

  3. 03

    Compare candidates

    Inspect raw and transformed values, contributions, coverage, uncertainty, and Pareto status.

  4. 04

    Stress-test

    Run what-if scenarios and identify measurements or assumptions that could change the decision.

Scientific boundary

MPO formalizes priorities; it does not make uncertain evidence certain.

Changing a desirability threshold or weight can change the ranking without changing any molecule. Correlated endpoints can be double-counted, missing values can bias comparison, and precise scores can obscure uncertain predictions. MolexIO presents MPO as decision support that requires scientific ownership and appropriate experimental validation.

Questions before use

MPO FAQ

What is a desirability function?

It converts a property value into a normalized preference using documented thresholds and direction; it is not a biological law.

Is the highest score the best drug candidate?

No. It is the leading candidate under the selected objectives, evidence, weights, and policies.

Why run what-if analysis?

It exposes whether the ranking is robust or sensitive to assumptions and missing evidence.

Turn candidate ranking into a reviewable decision model.

Let every stakeholder see the evidence, preferences, trade-offs, and uncertainty behind the shortlist.

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